AJ Auxerre
1-0
Nice
AJ Auxerre – Nice
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.26
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: AJ Auxerre 1-0 Nice. The model predicted a win for AJ Auxerre (37 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for AJ Auxerre and 1.26 for Nice. Bookmakers say the same thing: 33 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AJ Auxerre took 6 points and Nice 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for AJ Auxerre, 2 draws, 1 win for Nice. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AJ Auxerre | 2.92 | 33 % | +8.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.33 | 29 % | -1.7 % |
| 2Nice | 2.45 | 39 % | -18.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
AJ Auxerre
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nice
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- AJ Auxerre
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Nice
- AJ Auxerre2-1Nice
- Nice3-1AJ Auxerre
- Nice1-1AJ Auxerre
- AJ Auxerre2-1Nice
- Nice0-0AJ Auxerre
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of AJ Auxerre – Nice?
Final score: AJ Auxerre 1-0 Nice. The model predicted a win for AJ Auxerre (37 %): correct prediction.
Who will win AJ Auxerre – Nice?
Our model gives 1 · AJ Auxerre a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AJ Auxerre win 37 %, draw 30 %, Nice win 33 %.