Juve Stabia
Hellas Verona
Juve Stabia – Hellas Verona
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 27, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.16
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Juve Stabia at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.40 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.16 for Hellas Verona. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. Over their last five matches, Juve Stabia took 9 points and Hellas Verona 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Juve Stabia | 2.95 | 32 % | +18.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | +0.4 % |
| 2Hellas Verona | 2.30 | 41 % | -31.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Juve Stabia
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hellas Verona
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Juve Stabia – Hellas Verona?
Our model gives 1 · Juve Stabia a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Juve Stabia win 40 %, draw 30 %, Hellas Verona win 30 %.
What is the most likely score for Juve Stabia – Hellas Verona?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.