IFK Göteborg
Djurgården
IFK Göteborg – Djurgården
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 27, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Djurgården away from home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.28 goals for IFK Göteborg and 1.50 for Djurgården. Bookmakers say the same thing: 47 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, IFK Göteborg took 11 points and Djurgården 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for IFK Göteborg, 2 draws, 3 wins for Djurgården. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IFK Göteborg | 3.25 | 29 % | -4.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | +5.5 % |
| 2Djurgården | 2.00 | 47 % | -13.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
IFK Göteborg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Djurgården
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- IFK Göteborg
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- Djurgården
- Djurgården6-0IFK Göteborg
- Djurgården0-0IFK Göteborg
- IFK Göteborg1-2Djurgården
- Djurgården1-1IFK Göteborg
- IFK Göteborg1-4Djurgården
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IFK Göteborg – Djurgården?
Our model gives 2 · Djurgården a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IFK Göteborg win 30 %, draw 27 %, Djurgården win 43 %.
What is the most likely score for IFK Göteborg – Djurgården?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.