IF Brommapojkarna
BK Häcken
IF Brommapojkarna – BK Häcken
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 27, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.29 – 1.73
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards BK Häcken away from home (48 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.29 goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.73 for BK Häcken. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 55 %. Over their last five matches, IF Brommapojkarna took 6 points and BK Häcken 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for IF Brommapojkarna, 1 draw, 4 wins for BK Häcken. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1IF Brommapojkarna | 4.20 | 22 % | +11.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 23 % | +2.8 % |
| 2BK Häcken | 1.71 | 55 % | -18.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
IF Brommapojkarna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
BK Häcken
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- IF Brommapojkarna
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- BK Häcken
- BK Häcken2-2IF Brommapojkarna
- IF Brommapojkarna1-3BK Häcken
- BK Häcken2-0IF Brommapojkarna
- IF Brommapojkarna1-3BK Häcken
- BK Häcken4-3IF Brommapojkarna
Frequently asked questions
Who will win IF Brommapojkarna – BK Häcken?
Our model gives 2 · BK Häcken a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: IF Brommapojkarna win 27 %, draw 26 %, BK Häcken win 48 %.
What is the most likely score for IF Brommapojkarna – BK Häcken?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.