Atalanta
1-2
Cagliari
Atalanta – Cagliari
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.47 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Atalanta 1-2 Cagliari. The model predicted a win for Atalanta (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.47 goals for Atalanta and 0.98 for Cagliari. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 56 %. Over their last five matches, Atalanta took 10 points and Cagliari 9 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Atalanta, 1 draw, 2 wins for Cagliari. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atalanta | 1.66 | 56 % | -16.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -6.2 % |
| 2Cagliari | 5.00 | 19 % | +22.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Atalanta
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cagliari
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Atalanta
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Cagliari
- Cagliari3-2Atalanta
- Atalanta2-1Cagliari
- Atalanta0-0Cagliari
- Cagliari0-1Atalanta
- Cagliari2-1Atalanta
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atalanta – Cagliari?
Final score: Atalanta 1-2 Cagliari. The model predicted a win for Atalanta (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Atalanta – Cagliari?
Our model gives 1 · Atalanta a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atalanta win 50 %, draw 25 %, Cagliari win 24 %.