Dunkerque
2-1
Saint-Étienne
Dunkerque – Saint-Étienne
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 1.63
The short version
Final score: Dunkerque 2-1 Saint-Étienne. The model predicted a win for Saint-Étienne (44 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.20 goals for Dunkerque and 1.63 for Saint-Étienne. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 58 %. Over their last five matches, Dunkerque took 5 points and Saint-Étienne 15 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Dunkerque, 0 draws, 2 wins for Saint-Étienne. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dunkerque | 4.88 | 19 % | +44.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.98 | 23 % | +4.0 % |
| 2Saint-Étienne | 1.59 | 58 % | -29.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Dunkerque
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Saint-Étienne
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Dunkerque
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Saint-Étienne
- Saint-Étienne2-1Dunkerque
- Dunkerque1-0Saint-Étienne
- Dunkerque1-0Saint-Étienne
- Saint-Étienne2-0Dunkerque
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Dunkerque – Saint-Étienne?
Final score: Dunkerque 2-1 Saint-Étienne. The model predicted a win for Saint-Étienne (44 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Dunkerque – Saint-Étienne?
Our model gives 2 · Saint-Étienne a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dunkerque win 30 %, draw 26 %, Saint-Étienne win 44 %.