Wolfsberger
07:30 PM
Sep 12
Rapid Vienna
Wolfsberger – Rapid Vienna
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.05 – 1.83
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rapid Vienna away from home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.05 goals for Wolfsberger and 1.83 for Rapid Vienna. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 62 %. Over their last five matches, Wolfsberger took 5 points and Rapid Vienna 8 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Wolfsberger, 0 draws, 2 wins for Rapid Vienna. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Wolfsberger | 5.38 | 17 % | +8.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.47 | 21 % | +8.3 % |
| 2Rapid Vienna | 1.52 | 62 % | -15.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
Wolfsberger
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rapid Vienna
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| Wolfsberger | Form and statistics | Rapid Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| 1492 | Elo | 1582 |
| 1.50 | Goals scored / match | 3.10 |
| 0.90 | Goals conceded / match | 1.40 |
| 9.2 | Shots / match | 19.3 |
| 50 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Wolfsberger
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna2-0Wolfsberger
- Wolfsberger1-2Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna0-1Wolfsberger
- Wolfsberger5-1Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna1-3Wolfsberger
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wolfsberger – Rapid Vienna?
Our model gives 2 · Rapid Vienna a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Wolfsberger win 20 %, draw 24 %, Rapid Vienna win 55 %.
What is the most likely score for Wolfsberger – Rapid Vienna?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
