Cesena
2-2
Cremonese
Cesena – Cremonese
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.16 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Cesena 2-2 Cremonese. The model predicted a win for Cremonese (36 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.16 goals for Cesena and 1.20 for Cremonese. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 41 %. Over their last five matches, Cesena took 5 points and Cremonese 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Cesena, 0 draws, 1 win for Cremonese. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cesena | 3.15 | 30 % | +3.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | +1.8 % |
| 2Cremonese | 2.27 | 41 % | -18.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cesena
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cremonese
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Cesena
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Cremonese
- Cremonese1-2Cesena
- Cesena0-1Cremonese
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cesena – Cremonese?
Final score: Cesena 2-2 Cremonese. The model predicted a win for Cremonese (36 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Cesena – Cremonese?
Our model gives 2 · Cremonese a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cesena win 33 %, draw 31 %, Cremonese win 36 %.