Torino
Como
Torino – Como
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 26, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.00 – 1.90
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Como away from home (58 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.00 goals for Torino and 1.90 for Como. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Torino took 10 points and Como 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Torino, 0 draws, 3 wins for Como. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Torino | 4.75 | 20 % | -16.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.60 | 26 % | -14.0 % |
| 2Como | 1.72 | 54 % | +0.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Torino
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Como
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Torino
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Como
- Como6-0Torino
- Torino1-5Como
- Como1-0Torino
- Torino1-0Como
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Torino – Como?
Our model gives 2 · Como a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Torino win 18 %, draw 24 %, Como win 58 %.
What is the most likely score for Torino – Como?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.