FC Cologne
1-1
Werder Bremen
FC Cologne – Werder Bremen
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.57 – 1.32
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: FC Cologne 1-1 Werder Bremen. The model predicted a win for FC Cologne (43 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.57 goals for FC Cologne and 1.32 for Werder Bremen. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Cologne took 6 points and Werder Bremen 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for FC Cologne, 2 draws, 2 wins for Werder Bremen. Over 2.5 goals: 55 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Cologne | 2.05 | 46 % | -12.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +2.7 % |
| 2Werder Bremen | 3.23 | 29 % | -3.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Cologne
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Werder Bremen
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- FC Cologne
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Werder Bremen
- FC Cologne3-1Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen1-1FC Cologne
- FC Cologne0-1Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen2-1FC Cologne
- Werder Bremen1-1FC Cologne
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Cologne – Werder Bremen?
Final score: FC Cologne 1-1 Werder Bremen. The model predicted a win for FC Cologne (43 %): missed prediction.
Who will win FC Cologne – Werder Bremen?
Our model gives 1 · FC Cologne a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Cologne win 43 %, draw 27 %, Werder Bremen win 30 %.