Unión (Santa Fe)
Estudiantes de La Plata
Unión (Santa Fe) – Estudiantes de La Plata
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 25, 06:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.09 – 1.28
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42 %
- Both teams to score
- 48 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Estudiantes de La Plata away from home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.09 goals for Unión (Santa Fe) and 1.28 for Estudiantes de La Plata. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Unión (Santa Fe) took 1 point and Estudiantes de La Plata 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Unión (Santa Fe), 1 draw, 2 wins for Estudiantes de La Plata. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Unión (Santa Fe) | 2.35 | 40 % | -26.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | +1.1 % |
| 2Estudiantes de La Plata | 3.00 | 31 % | +11.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Unión (Santa Fe)
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Estudiantes de La Plata
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Unión (Santa Fe)
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Estudiantes de La Plata
- Estudiantes de La Plata2-1Unión (Santa Fe)
- Unión (Santa Fe)1-0Estudiantes de La Plata
- Estudiantes de La Plata3-1Unión (Santa Fe)
- Estudiantes de La Plata0-0Unión (Santa Fe)
- Unión (Santa Fe)2-0
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Unión (Santa Fe) – Estudiantes de La Plata?
Our model gives 2 · Estudiantes de La Plata a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Unión (Santa Fe) win 31 %, draw 32 %, Estudiantes de La Plata win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for Unión (Santa Fe) – Estudiantes de La Plata?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.