Athletic Club
1-1
Elche
Athletic Club – Elche
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.74 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Athletic Club 1-1 Elche. The model predicted a win for Athletic Club (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.74 goals for Athletic Club and 0.98 for Elche. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 68 %. Over their last five matches, Athletic Club took 6 points and Elche 2 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Athletic Club, 1 draw, 1 win for Elche. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Athletic Club | 1.40 | 68 % | -27.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 20 % | +28.0 % |
| 2Elche | 8.00 | 12 % | +77.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Athletic Club
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Elche
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Athletic Club
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Elche
- Athletic Club2-1Elche
- Elche0-0Athletic Club
- Athletic Club0-1Elche
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Athletic Club – Elche?
Final score: Athletic Club 1-1 Elche. The model predicted a win for Athletic Club (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Athletic Club – Elche?
Our model gives 1 · Athletic Club a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Athletic Club win 52 %, draw 26 %, Elche win 22 %.