Boulogne
Stade de Reims
Boulogne – Stade de Reims
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 25, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.99 – 1.42
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43 %
- Both teams to score
- 48 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Stade de Reims away from home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 0.99 goals for Boulogne and 1.42 for Stade de Reims. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 41 %. Over their last five matches, Boulogne took 6 points and Stade de Reims 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Boulogne, 1 draw, 1 win for Stade de Reims. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Boulogne | 3.15 | 30 % | -23.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -10.7 % |
| 2Stade de Reims | 2.30 | 41 % | +9.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Boulogne
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Stade de Reims
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Boulogne
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Stade de Reims
- Stade de Reims0-0Boulogne
- Boulogne2-6Stade de Reims
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Boulogne – Stade de Reims?
Our model gives 2 · Stade de Reims a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Boulogne win 24 %, draw 28 %, Stade de Reims win 47 %.
What is the most likely score for Boulogne – Stade de Reims?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.