Parken Stadium
F.C. København
Odense Boldklub
F.C. København – Odense Boldklub
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 25, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 72 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.38 – 0.87
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards F.C. København at home (72 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.38 goals for F.C. København and 0.87 for Odense Boldklub. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 65 %. Over their last five matches, F.C. København took 8 points and Odense Boldklub 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for F.C. København, 2 draws, 1 win for Odense Boldklub. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1F.C. København | 1.45 | 65 % | +5.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | -12.9 % |
| 2Odense Boldklub | 5.75 | 16 % | -43.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
F.C. København
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Odense Boldklub
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- F.C. København
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Odense Boldklub
- Odense Boldklub0-5F.C. København
- F.C. København2-1Odense Boldklub
- Odense Boldklub2-1F.C. København
- Odense Boldklub2-2F.C. København
- F.C. København1-1Odense Boldklub
Frequently asked questions
Who will win F.C. København – Odense Boldklub?
Our model gives 1 · F.C. København a 72 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: F.C. København win 72 %, draw 18 %, Odense Boldklub win 10 %.
What is the most likely score for F.C. København – Odense Boldklub?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.