Girona
1-2
Castellón
Girona – Castellón
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.47 – 1.06
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Girona 1-2 Castellón. The model predicted a win for Girona (46 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.47 goals for Girona and 1.06 for Castellón. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Girona took 8 points and Castellón 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Girona | 2.25 | 42 % | +4.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -3.3 % |
| 2Castellón | 3.05 | 31 % | -20.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Girona
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Castellón
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Girona – Castellón?
Final score: Girona 1-2 Castellón. The model predicted a win for Girona (46 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Girona – Castellón?
Our model gives 1 · Girona a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Girona win 46 %, draw 28 %, Castellón win 26 %.