Predictions are closed for this match.
Rosenborg
06:00 PM
Sep 12
Tromso
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rosenborg | 1.64 | 57 % | -10.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | -6.0 % |
| 2Tromso | 4.90 | 19 % | +6.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Rosenborg
Tromso
| Rosenborg | Form and statistics | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| 1579 | Elo | 1593 |
| 2.40 | Goals scored / match | 1.60 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded / match | 1.60 |
| 14.6 | Shots / match | 5.2 |
| 60 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 5 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Rosenborg a 55 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rosenborg win 55 %, draw 24 %, Tromso win 22 %.
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 62 %, and both teams scoring at 60 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.64 for Rosenborg, 4.00 for the draw, 4.90 for Tromso.
Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (Eliteserien), at Lerkendal Stadion.
The model leans towards Rosenborg at home (55 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.01 goals for Rosenborg and 1.18 for Tromso. Bookmakers say the same thing: 57 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Rosenborg took 9 points and Tromso 2 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Rosenborg, 0 draws, 3 wins for Tromso. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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