Predictions are closed for this match.
Olympiacos
06:00 PM
Sep 12
OFI CRETE
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Olympiacos | 1.23 | 76 % | -8.9 % |
| XDraw | 6.00 | 16 % | +6.8 % |
| 2OFI CRETE | 12.00 | 8 % | -2.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Olympiacos
OFI CRETE
| Olympiacos | Form and statistics | OFI CRETE |
|---|---|---|
| 1740 | Elo | 1512 |
| 1.00 | Goals scored / match | 1.80 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded / match | 1.10 |
| 15.7 | Shots / match | 11.2 |
| 40 % | Win rate | 60 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 5 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Olympiacos a 74 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Olympiacos win 74 %, draw 18 %, OFI CRETE win 8 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 57 %, and both teams scoring at 46 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.23 for Olympiacos, 6.00 for the draw, 12.00 for OFI CRETE.
Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (Super League Greece), at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.
The model leans towards Olympiacos at home (74 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.27 goals for Olympiacos and 0.71 for OFI CRETE. Bookmakers say the same thing: 76 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Olympiacos took 8 points and OFI CRETE 12 points. In recent meetings: 5 wins for Olympiacos, 0 draws, 0 wins for OFI CRETE. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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