Catanzaro
1-0
Carrarese
Catanzaro – Carrarese
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.61 – 1.05
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Catanzaro 1-0 Carrarese. The model predicted a win for Catanzaro (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.61 goals for Catanzaro and 1.05 for Carrarese. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Catanzaro took 2 points and Carrarese 1 point. In recent meetings: 1 win for Catanzaro, 3 draws, 0 wins for Carrarese. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Catanzaro | 1.76 | 53 % | -13.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -5.6 % |
| 2Carrarese | 4.55 | 20 % | +8.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Catanzaro
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Carrarese
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Catanzaro
- 3 draws
- 0 wins
- Carrarese
- Carrarese3-3Catanzaro
- Catanzaro1-1Carrarese
- Carrarese2-2Catanzaro
- Catanzaro3-1Carrarese
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Catanzaro – Carrarese?
Final score: Catanzaro 1-0 Carrarese. The model predicted a win for Catanzaro (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Catanzaro – Carrarese?
Our model gives 1 · Catanzaro a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Catanzaro win 49 %, draw 27 %, Carrarese win 24 %.