Sporting CP
Académico de Viseu
Sporting CP – Académico de Viseu
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 81 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.71 – 0.67
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sporting CP at home (81 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.71 goals for Sporting CP and 0.67 for Académico de Viseu. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 75 %. Over their last five matches, Sporting CP took 8 points and Académico de Viseu 12 points. Over 2.5 goals: 66 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sporting CP | 1.23 | 75 % | -0.2 % |
| XDraw | 5.88 | 16 % | -21.5 % |
| 2Académico de Viseu | 10.50 | 9 % | -45.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sporting CP
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Académico de Viseu
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sporting CP – Académico de Viseu?
Our model gives 1 · Sporting CP a 81 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sporting CP win 81 %, draw 13 %, Académico de Viseu win 5 %.
What is the most likely score for Sporting CP – Académico de Viseu?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.