OFI Crete
PAOK
OFI Crete – PAOK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 57 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.00 – 1.77
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards PAOK away from home (57 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.00 goals for OFI Crete and 1.77 for PAOK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, OFI Crete took 1 point and PAOK 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for OFI Crete, 2 draws, 3 wins for PAOK. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1OFI Crete | 4.40 | 21 % | -22.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 24 % | -4.5 % |
| 2PAOK | 1.71 | 54 % | -2.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
OFI Crete
- Last 5 matches
- At home
PAOK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- OFI Crete
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- PAOK
- PAOK0-0OFI Crete
- OFI Crete1-1PAOK
- PAOK3-0OFI Crete
- OFI Crete1-3PAOK
- OFI Crete0-3PAOK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win OFI Crete – PAOK?
Our model gives 2 · PAOK a 57 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: OFI Crete win 18 %, draw 25 %, PAOK win 57 %.
What is the most likely score for OFI Crete – PAOK?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.