Nordmore Stadion
Kristiansund BK
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK – KFUM Oslo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.50 – 1.44
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Kristiansund BK at home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.50 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.44 for KFUM Oslo. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Kristiansund BK took 3 points and KFUM Oslo 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Kristiansund BK, 2 draws, 2 wins for KFUM Oslo. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kristiansund BK | 2.35 | 40 % | -11.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 28 % | -4.7 % |
| 2KFUM Oslo | 2.90 | 32 % | -1.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kristiansund BK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
KFUM Oslo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Kristiansund BK
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- KFUM Oslo
- KFUM Oslo2-1Kristiansund BK
- KFUM Oslo1-1Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK0-5KFUM Oslo
- KFUM Oslo1-2Kristiansund BK
- Kristiansund BK1-1KFUM Oslo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kristiansund BK – KFUM Oslo?
Our model gives 1 · Kristiansund BK a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kristiansund BK win 38 %, draw 28 %, KFUM Oslo win 34 %.
What is the most likely score for Kristiansund BK – KFUM Oslo?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.