LASK Linz
RB Salzburg
LASK Linz – RB Salzburg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.86 – 1.22
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60 %
- Both teams to score
- 60 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards LASK Linz at home (49 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.86 goals for LASK Linz and 1.22 for RB Salzburg. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, LASK Linz took 7 points and RB Salzburg 8 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for LASK Linz, 0 draws, 2 wins for RB Salzburg. Over 2.5 goals: 60 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1LASK Linz | 2.15 | 43 % | +5.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 24 % | +4.8 % |
| 2RB Salzburg | 2.90 | 32 % | -31.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
LASK Linz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
RB Salzburg
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- LASK Linz
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- RB Salzburg
- LASK Linz2-1RB Salzburg
- RB Salzburg2-3LASK Linz
- LASK Linz1-5RB Salzburg
- RB Salzburg3-0LASK Linz
- RB Salzburg1-2LASK Linz
Frequently asked questions
Who will win LASK Linz – RB Salzburg?
Our model gives 1 · LASK Linz a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: LASK Linz win 49 %, draw 27 %, RB Salzburg win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for LASK Linz – RB Salzburg?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.