Cádiz
0-1
Las Palmas
Cádiz – Las Palmas
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Cádiz 0-1 Las Palmas. The model predicted a win for Las Palmas (46 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.04 goals for Cádiz and 1.39 for Las Palmas. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 31 %. Over their last five matches, Cádiz took 3 points and Las Palmas 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Cádiz, 2 draws, 2 wins for Las Palmas. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cádiz | 2.35 | 40 % | -39.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -10.1 % |
| 2Las Palmas | 3.05 | 31 % | +41.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cádiz
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Las Palmas
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Cádiz
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Las Palmas
- Cádiz1-2Las Palmas
- Las Palmas1-0Cádiz
- Cádiz0-0Las Palmas
- Las Palmas1-1Cádiz
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cádiz – Las Palmas?
Final score: Cádiz 0-1 Las Palmas. The model predicted a win for Las Palmas (46 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Cádiz – Las Palmas?
Our model gives 2 · Las Palmas a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cádiz win 26 %, draw 28 %, Las Palmas win 46 %.