Mjällby AIF
Hammarby IF
Mjällby AIF – Hammarby IF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.03 – 1.83
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Hammarby IF away from home (52 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.03 goals for Mjällby AIF and 1.83 for Hammarby IF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 64 %. Over their last five matches, Mjällby AIF took 5 points and Hammarby IF 10 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Mjällby AIF, 0 draws, 2 wins for Hammarby IF. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mjällby AIF | 6.00 | 16 % | +32.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | +16.1 % |
| 2Hammarby IF | 1.47 | 64 % | -23.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Mjällby AIF
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hammarby IF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Mjällby AIF
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Hammarby IF
- Hammarby IF3-0Mjällby AIF
- Hammarby IF1-2Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF3-1Hammarby IF
- Hammarby IF3-0Mjällby AIF
- Mjällby AIF3-0Hammarby IF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Mjällby AIF – Hammarby IF?
Our model gives 2 · Hammarby IF a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Mjällby AIF win 22 %, draw 26 %, Hammarby IF win 52 %.
What is the most likely score for Mjällby AIF – Hammarby IF?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.