Celta Vigo
Real Betis
Celta Vigo – Real Betis
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.16 – 1.42
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Real Betis away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.16 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.42 for Real Betis. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Celta Vigo took 10 points and Real Betis 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Celta Vigo, 3 draws, 1 win for Real Betis. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Celta Vigo | 3.05 | 31 % | -9.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 28 % | +3.1 % |
| 2Real Betis | 2.30 | 41 % | -6.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Celta Vigo
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Real Betis
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Celta Vigo
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Real Betis
- Real Betis1-1Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo1-1Real Betis
- Celta Vigo3-2Real Betis
- Real Betis2-2Celta Vigo
- Real Betis2-1Celta Vigo
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Celta Vigo – Real Betis?
Our model gives 2 · Real Betis a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Celta Vigo win 30 %, draw 30 %, Real Betis win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for Celta Vigo – Real Betis?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.