Club Brugge
Sint-Truidense
Club Brugge – Sint-Truidense
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 78 %
- Most likely score
- 2-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.88 – 0.93
- Over 2.5 goals
- 73 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Club Brugge at home (78 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.88 goals for Club Brugge and 0.93 for Sint-Truidense. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 70 %. Over their last five matches, Club Brugge took 15 points and Sint-Truidense 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Club Brugge, 1 draw, 1 win for Sint-Truidense. Over 2.5 goals: 73 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Club Brugge | 1.33 | 70 % | +3.5 % |
| XDraw | 5.50 | 17 % | -25.1 % |
| 2Sint-Truidense | 7.00 | 13 % | -39.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Club Brugge
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sint-Truidense
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Club Brugge
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Sint-Truidense
- Club Brugge2-0Sint-Truidense
- Sint-Truidense1-2Club Brugge
- Sint-Truidense3-2Club Brugge
- Club Brugge2-0Sint-Truidense
- Sint-Truidense2-2Club Brugge
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Club Brugge – Sint-Truidense?
Our model gives 1 · Club Brugge a 78 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Club Brugge win 78 %, draw 14 %, Sint-Truidense win 9 %.
What is the most likely score for Club Brugge – Sint-Truidense?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.