Arasen Stadion
Lillestrom
2-0
Vålerenga
Lillestrom – Vålerenga
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 1.41
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lillestrom 2-0 Vålerenga. The model predicted a win for Lillestrom (41 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.60 goals for Lillestrom and 1.41 for Vålerenga. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, Lillestrom took 8 points and Vålerenga 2 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Lillestrom, 0 draws, 0 wins for Vålerenga. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lillestrom | 1.86 | 51 % | -23.1 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | +7.0 % |
| 2Vålerenga | 3.60 | 26 % | +17.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lillestrom
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vålerenga
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Lillestrom
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Vålerenga
- Vålerenga0-2Lillestrom
- Lillestrom2-0Vålerenga
- Vålerenga3-4Lillestrom
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lillestrom – Vålerenga?
Final score: Lillestrom 2-0 Vålerenga. The model predicted a win for Lillestrom (41 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Lillestrom – Vålerenga?
Our model gives 1 · Lillestrom a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lillestrom win 41 %, draw 26 %, Vålerenga win 33 %.