Olympiacos
Kalamata
Olympiacos – Kalamata
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 76 %
- Most likely score
- 2-013 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.32 – 0.71
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Olympiacos at home (76 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.32 goals for Olympiacos and 0.71 for Kalamata. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 83 %. Over their last five matches, Olympiacos took 15 points and Kalamata 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Olympiacos | 1.11 | 83 % | -15.2 % |
| XDraw | 8.50 | 11 % | +32.7 % |
| 2Kalamata | 16.00 | 6 % | +27.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Olympiacos
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kalamata
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Olympiacos – Kalamata?
Our model gives 1 · Olympiacos a 76 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Olympiacos win 76 %, draw 16 %, Kalamata win 8 %.
What is the most likely score for Olympiacos – Kalamata?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.