Viking Stadion
Viking FK
Tromso
Viking FK – Tromso
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 71 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.67 – 1.06
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72 %
- Both teams to score
- 61 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Viking FK at home (71 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.67 goals for Viking FK and 1.06 for Tromso. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 62 %. Over their last five matches, Viking FK took 10 points and Tromso 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Viking FK, 2 draws, 1 win for Tromso. Over 2.5 goals: 72 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Viking FK | 1.51 | 62 % | +7.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.50 | 21 % | -19.5 % |
| 2Tromso | 5.25 | 18 % | -40.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Viking FK
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Tromso
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Viking FK
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Tromso
- Tromso1-3Viking FK
- Viking FK4-4Tromso
- Tromso2-2Viking FK
- Viking FK2-1Tromso
- Viking FK3-4Tromso
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Viking FK – Tromso?
Our model gives 1 · Viking FK a 71 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Viking FK win 71 %, draw 18 %, Tromso win 11 %.
What is the most likely score for Viking FK – Tromso?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.