PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord Rotterdam
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.40 – 1.34
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72 %
- Both teams to score
- 67 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards PSV Eindhoven at home (58 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.40 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.34 for Feyenoord Rotterdam. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 47 %. Over their last five matches, PSV Eindhoven took 6 points and Feyenoord Rotterdam 12 points. In recent meetings: 5 wins for PSV Eindhoven, 0 draws, 0 wins for Feyenoord Rotterdam. Over 2.5 goals: 72 %. Both teams to score: 67 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1PSV Eindhoven | 2.00 | 47 % | +16.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | -11.3 % |
| 2Feyenoord Rotterdam | 3.05 | 31 % | -37.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
PSV Eindhoven
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 5 wins
- PSV Eindhoven
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- Feyenoord Rotterdam
- PSV Eindhoven3-0Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Feyenoord Rotterdam2-3PSV Eindhoven
- Feyenoord Rotterdam2-3PSV Eindhoven
- PSV Eindhoven2-0Feyenoord Rotterdam
- PSV Eindhoven3-0Feyenoord Rotterdam
Frequently asked questions
Who will win PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord Rotterdam?
Our model gives 1 · PSV Eindhoven a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: PSV Eindhoven win 58 %, draw 21 %, Feyenoord Rotterdam win 20 %.
What is the most likely score for PSV Eindhoven – Feyenoord Rotterdam?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.