Racing Genk
Standard Liege
Racing Genk – Standard Liege
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.83 – 1.09
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Racing Genk at home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.83 goals for Racing Genk and 1.09 for Standard Liege. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Racing Genk took 8 points and Standard Liege 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Racing Genk, 2 draws, 2 wins for Standard Liege. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Racing Genk | 1.74 | 54 % | -3.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -7.3 % |
| 2Standard Liege | 4.50 | 21 % | -11.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Racing Genk
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Standard Liege
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Racing Genk
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Standard Liege
- Standard Liege0-0Racing Genk
- Racing Genk1-1Standard Liege
- Racing Genk0-3Standard Liege
- Standard Liege2-1Racing Genk
- Standard Liege1-2Racing Genk
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Racing Genk – Standard Liege?
Our model gives 1 · Racing Genk a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Racing Genk win 56 %, draw 25 %, Standard Liege win 20 %.
What is the most likely score for Racing Genk – Standard Liege?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.