Hibernian
Celtic
Hibernian – Celtic
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 24, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.09 – 1.88
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Celtic away from home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.09 goals for Hibernian and 1.88 for Celtic. Bookmakers say the same thing: 58 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Hibernian took 1 point and Celtic 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Hibernian, 1 draw, 3 wins for Celtic. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hibernian | 4.60 | 20 % | -9.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.32 | 21 % | +5.7 % |
| 2Celtic | 1.59 | 58 % | -11.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Hibernian
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Celtic
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Hibernian
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Celtic
- Hibernian1-2Celtic
- Celtic1-2Hibernian
- Hibernian1-2Celtic
- Celtic0-0Hibernian
- Celtic3-1Hibernian
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hibernian – Celtic?
Our model gives 2 · Celtic a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Hibernian win 20 %, draw 24 %, Celtic win 56 %.
What is the most likely score for Hibernian – Celtic?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.