Blackburn Rovers
3-1
Millwall
Blackburn Rovers – Millwall
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.09 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Millwall. The model predicted a win for Millwall (42 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.09 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.39 for Millwall. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 32 %. Over their last five matches, Blackburn Rovers took 1 point and Millwall 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Blackburn Rovers, 1 draw, 1 win for Millwall. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Blackburn Rovers | 2.50 | 38 % | -27.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 30 % | -6.6 % |
| 2Millwall | 2.95 | 32 % | +22.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Blackburn Rovers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Millwall
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Blackburn Rovers
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Millwall
- Millwall1-2Blackburn Rovers
- Blackburn Rovers2-0Millwall
- Blackburn Rovers4-1Millwall
- Millwall1-0Blackburn Rovers
- Blackburn Rovers1-1Millwall
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Blackburn Rovers – Millwall?
Final score: Blackburn Rovers 3-1 Millwall. The model predicted a win for Millwall (42 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Blackburn Rovers – Millwall?
Our model gives 2 · Millwall a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Blackburn Rovers win 29 %, draw 29 %, Millwall win 42 %.