Nagoya Grampus
Yokohama F. Marinos
Nagoya Grampus – Yokohama F. Marinos
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Nagoya Grampus at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.37 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.19 for Yokohama F. Marinos. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Nagoya Grampus took 7 points and Yokohama F. Marinos 7 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Nagoya Grampus, 1 draw, 1 win for Yokohama F. Marinos. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nagoya Grampus | 2.35 | 40 % | -4.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -5.2 % |
| 2Yokohama F. Marinos | 2.80 | 33 % | -10.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Nagoya Grampus
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Yokohama F. Marinos
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Nagoya Grampus
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Yokohama F. Marinos
- Yokohama F. Marinos3-0Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus2-0Yokohama F. Marinos
- Yokohama F. Marinos0-2Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus2-1Yokohama F. Marinos
- Yokohama F. Marinos1-1Nagoya Grampus
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Nagoya Grampus – Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our model gives 1 · Nagoya Grampus a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Nagoya Grampus win 41 %, draw 27 %, Yokohama F. Marinos win 32 %.
What is the most likely score for Nagoya Grampus – Yokohama F. Marinos?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.