Rosario Central
Huracán
Rosario Central – Huracán
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 56 %
- Most likely score
- 1-014 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 0.83
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 45 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rosario Central at home (56 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.60 goals for Rosario Central and 0.83 for Huracán. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Rosario Central took 13 points and Huracán 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Rosario Central, 0 draws, 4 wins for Huracán. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 45 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rosario Central | 1.74 | 54 % | -2.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -7.9 % |
| 2Huracán | 5.25 | 18 % | -12.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Rosario Central
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Huracán
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Rosario Central
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Huracán
- Huracán3-1Rosario Central
- Rosario Central0-1Huracán
- Rosario Central0-1Huracán
- Huracán0-2Rosario Central
- Huracán2-0Rosario Central
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rosario Central – Huracán?
Our model gives 1 · Rosario Central a 56 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rosario Central win 56 %, draw 27 %, Huracán win 17 %.
What is the most likely score for Rosario Central – Huracán?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 14 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.