TSG Hoffenheim
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
TSG Hoffenheim – VfB Stuttgart
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.92
The short version
Final score: TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart. The model predicted a win for VfB Stuttgart (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.36 goals for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.92 for VfB Stuttgart. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 33 %. Over their last five matches, TSG Hoffenheim took 6 points and VfB Stuttgart 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for TSG Hoffenheim, 4 draws, 1 win for VfB Stuttgart. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1TSG Hoffenheim | 2.15 | 44 % | -40.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.90 | 24 % | -2.1 % |
| 2VfB Stuttgart | 2.88 | 33 % | +35.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
TSG Hoffenheim
- Last 5 matches
- At home
VfB Stuttgart
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- TSG Hoffenheim
- 4 draws
- 1 win
- VfB Stuttgart
- TSG Hoffenheim3-3VfB Stuttgart
- VfB Stuttgart0-0TSG Hoffenheim
- TSG Hoffenheim1-1VfB Stuttgart
- VfB Stuttgart1-1TSG Hoffenheim
- TSG Hoffenheim0-3VfB Stuttgart
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of TSG Hoffenheim – VfB Stuttgart?
Final score: TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart. The model predicted a win for VfB Stuttgart (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win TSG Hoffenheim – VfB Stuttgart?
Our model gives 2 · VfB Stuttgart a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: TSG Hoffenheim win 28 %, draw 25 %, VfB Stuttgart win 47 %.