CRB
Londrina
CRB – Londrina
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 63 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.94 – 0.86
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards CRB at home (63 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.94 goals for CRB and 0.86 for Londrina. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 69 %. Over their last five matches, CRB took 7 points and Londrina 4 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for CRB, 1 draw, 2 wins for Londrina. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1CRB | 1.35 | 69 % | -14.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | +10.1 % |
| 2Londrina | 7.50 | 12 % | +8.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
CRB
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Londrina
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- CRB
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Londrina
- Londrina5-0CRB
- Londrina1-1CRB
- Londrina1-0CRB
- CRB1-0Londrina
- CRB1-0Londrina
Frequently asked questions
Who will win CRB – Londrina?
Our model gives 1 · CRB a 63 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: CRB win 63 %, draw 22 %, Londrina win 14 %.
What is the most likely score for CRB – Londrina?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.