Talleres (Córdoba)
Defensa y Justicia
Talleres (Córdoba) – Defensa y Justicia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.03
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Talleres (Córdoba) at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.22 goals for Talleres (Córdoba) and 1.03 for Defensa y Justicia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Talleres (Córdoba) took 4 points and Defensa y Justicia 10 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Talleres (Córdoba), 2 draws, 1 win for Defensa y Justicia. Over 2.5 goals: 39 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Talleres (Córdoba) | 2.20 | 42 % | -9.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -4.1 % |
| 2Defensa y Justicia | 3.25 | 29 % | -5.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Talleres (Córdoba)
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Defensa y Justicia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Talleres (Córdoba)
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia1-2Talleres (Córdoba)
- Talleres (Córdoba)1-1Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia1-1Talleres (Córdoba)
- Talleres (Córdoba)1-0Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia3-0Talleres (Córdoba)
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Talleres (Córdoba) – Defensa y Justicia?
Our model gives 1 · Talleres (Córdoba) a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Talleres (Córdoba) win 41 %, draw 30 %, Defensa y Justicia win 29 %.
What is the most likely score for Talleres (Córdoba) – Defensa y Justicia?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.