Banfield
Lanús
Banfield – Lanús
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-113 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.02 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39 %
- Both teams to score
- 46 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Lanús away from home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.02 goals for Banfield and 1.23 for Lanús. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 44 %. Over their last five matches, Banfield took 6 points and Lanús 13 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Banfield, 1 draw, 3 wins for Lanús. Over 2.5 goals: 39 %. Both teams to score: 46 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Banfield | 3.50 | 27 % | +6.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | +2.4 % |
| 2Lanús | 2.15 | 44 % | -20.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Banfield
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lanús
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Banfield
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- Lanús
- Lanús1-0Banfield
- Banfield2-1Lanús
- Lanús1-1Banfield
- Banfield0-1Lanús
- Banfield1-2Lanús
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Banfield – Lanús?
Our model gives 2 · Lanús a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Banfield win 30 %, draw 33 %, Lanús win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for Banfield – Lanús?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 13 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.