Atlante
Atlético de San Luis
Atlante – Atlético de San Luis
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.51 – 1.16
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Atlante at home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.51 goals for Atlante and 1.16 for Atlético de San Luis. Bookmakers say the same thing: 42 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Atlante took 7 points and Atlético de San Luis 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atlante | 2.25 | 42 % | +2.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | +3.0 % |
| 2Atlético de San Luis | 3.00 | 31 % | -23.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Atlante
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Atlético de San Luis
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Atlante – Atlético de San Luis?
Our model gives 1 · Atlante a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atlante win 45 %, draw 29 %, Atlético de San Luis win 26 %.
What is the most likely score for Atlante – Atlético de San Luis?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.