Gil Vicente
FC Porto
Gil Vicente – FC Porto
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 1.60
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards FC Porto away from home (52 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.04 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.60 for FC Porto. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 65 %. Over their last five matches, Gil Vicente took 10 points and FC Porto 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Gil Vicente, 1 draw, 3 wins for FC Porto. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Gil Vicente | 6.75 | 14 % | +44.2 % |
| XDraw | 4.30 | 22 % | +13.9 % |
| 2FC Porto | 1.44 | 65 % | -25.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Gil Vicente
- Last 5 matches
- At home
FC Porto
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Gil Vicente
- 1 draw
- 3 wins
- FC Porto
- FC Porto3-0Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente0-2FC Porto
- Gil Vicente3-1FC Porto
- FC Porto3-0Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente1-1FC Porto
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Gil Vicente – FC Porto?
Our model gives 2 · FC Porto a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Gil Vicente win 21 %, draw 26 %, FC Porto win 52 %.
What is the most likely score for Gil Vicente – FC Porto?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.