FC Augsburg
2-2
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg – Bayer Leverkusen
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.35 – 1.92
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen. The model predicted a win for Bayer Leverkusen (52 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.35 goals for FC Augsburg and 1.92 for Bayer Leverkusen. Bookmakers say the same thing: 50 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, FC Augsburg took 12 points and Bayer Leverkusen 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for FC Augsburg, 0 draws, 3 wins for Bayer Leverkusen. Over 2.5 goals: 64 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1FC Augsburg | 3.58 | 26 % | -11.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.00 | 24 % | -4.9 % |
| 2Bayer Leverkusen | 1.88 | 50 % | -3.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
FC Augsburg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Bayer Leverkusen
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- FC Augsburg
- 0 draws
- 3 wins
- Bayer Leverkusen
- Bayer Leverkusen1-2FC Augsburg
- FC Augsburg2-0Bayer Leverkusen
- Bayer Leverkusen2-0FC Augsburg
- FC Augsburg0-2Bayer Leverkusen
- Bayer Leverkusen2-1FC Augsburg
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of FC Augsburg – Bayer Leverkusen?
Final score: FC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen. The model predicted a win for Bayer Leverkusen (52 %): missed prediction.
Who will win FC Augsburg – Bayer Leverkusen?
Our model gives 2 · Bayer Leverkusen a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: FC Augsburg win 25 %, draw 24 %, Bayer Leverkusen win 52 %.