Rapid Vienna
Austria Lustenau
Rapid Vienna – Austria Lustenau
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 80 %
- Most likely score
- 2-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.81 – 0.78
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Rapid Vienna at home (80 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.81 goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.78 for Austria Lustenau. Bookmakers say the same thing: 77 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Rapid Vienna took 12 points and Austria Lustenau 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Rapid Vienna, 3 draws, 0 wins for Austria Lustenau. Over 2.5 goals: 69 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Rapid Vienna | 1.21 | 77 % | -3.8 % |
| XDraw | 7.00 | 13 % | -1.8 % |
| 2Austria Lustenau | 10.00 | 9 % | -35.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Rapid Vienna
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Austria Lustenau
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Rapid Vienna
- 3 draws
- 0 wins
- Austria Lustenau
- Rapid Vienna1-1Austria Lustenau
- Austria Lustenau0-5Rapid Vienna
- Austria Lustenau3-3Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna1-1Austria Lustenau
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Rapid Vienna – Austria Lustenau?
Our model gives 1 · Rapid Vienna a 80 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Rapid Vienna win 80 %, draw 14 %, Austria Lustenau win 6 %.
What is the most likely score for Rapid Vienna – Austria Lustenau?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.