Borussia Dortmund
3-0
SC Paderborn 07
Borussia Dortmund – SC Paderborn 07
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 76 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.75 – 0.90
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07. The model predicted a win for Borussia Dortmund (76 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.75 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.90 for SC Paderborn 07. Bookmakers say the same thing: 74 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Borussia Dortmund took 15 points and SC Paderborn 07 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 71 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Borussia Dortmund | 1.26 | 74 % | -4.5 % |
| XDraw | 6.25 | 15 % | -2.4 % |
| 2SC Paderborn 07 | 8.75 | 11 % | -25.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Borussia Dortmund
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SC Paderborn 07
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Borussia Dortmund – SC Paderborn 07?
Final score: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Paderborn 07. The model predicted a win for Borussia Dortmund (76 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund – SC Paderborn 07?
Our model gives 1 · Borussia Dortmund a 76 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Borussia Dortmund win 76 %, draw 16 %, SC Paderborn 07 win 9 %.