Willem II
SC Cambuur
Willem II – SC Cambuur
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.53 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61 %
- Both teams to score
- 64 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards SC Cambuur away from home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.53 goals for Willem II and 1.64 for SC Cambuur. Bookmakers say the same thing: 37 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Willem II took 1 point and SC Cambuur 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Willem II, 1 draw, 1 win for SC Cambuur. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 64 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Willem II | 2.45 | 38 % | -15.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 25 % | -6.3 % |
| 2SC Cambuur | 2.55 | 37 % | +2.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Willem II
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SC Cambuur
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Willem II
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- SC Cambuur
- SC Cambuur1-1Willem II
- Willem II1-3SC Cambuur
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Willem II – SC Cambuur?
Our model gives 2 · SC Cambuur a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Willem II win 35 %, draw 25 %, SC Cambuur win 40 %.
What is the most likely score for Willem II – SC Cambuur?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.