Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 68 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.37 – 1.14
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68 %
- Both teams to score
- 62 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Borussia Dortmund at home (68 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.37 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.14 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Bookmakers say the same thing: 64 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Borussia Dortmund took 8 points and Eintracht Frankfurt 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Borussia Dortmund, 2 draws, 1 win for Eintracht Frankfurt. Over 2.5 goals: 68 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Borussia Dortmund | 1.46 | 64 % | -1.4 % |
| XDraw | 4.95 | 19 % | -8.0 % |
| 2Eintracht Frankfurt | 5.63 | 17 % | -21.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Borussia Dortmund
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Borussia Dortmund
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- Borussia Dortmund3-2Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt3-3Borussia Dortmund
- Eintracht Frankfurt1-1Borussia Dortmund
- Eintracht Frankfurt2-0Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund2-0Eintracht Frankfurt
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our model gives 1 · Borussia Dortmund a 68 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Borussia Dortmund win 68 %, draw 19 %, Eintracht Frankfurt win 14 %.
What is the most likely score for Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.