Predictions are closed for this match.
AIK
03:00 PM
Sep 12
Västerås SK
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AIK | 1.76 | 54 % | -4.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -11.3 % |
| 2Västerås SK | 4.50 | 21 % | -1.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
AIK
Västerås SK
| AIK | Form and statistics | Västerås SK |
|---|---|---|
| 1579 | Elo | 1473 |
| 1.60 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded / match | 1.20 |
| 12.3 | Shots / match | 11.6 |
| 60 % | Win rate | 50 % |
| 4 | Rest days | 6 |
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · AIK a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AIK win 54 %, draw 24 %, Västerås SK win 22 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 53 %, and both teams scoring at 54 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.76 for AIK, 3.75 for the draw, 4.50 for Västerås SK.
Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (Allsvenskan), at Friends Arena.
The model leans towards AIK at home (54 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.77 goals for AIK and 1.03 for Västerås SK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AIK took 10 points and Västerås SK 7 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for AIK, 1 draw, 0 wins for Västerås SK. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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