OH Leuven
Lommel SK
OH Leuven – Lommel SK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.28 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45 %
- Both teams to score
- 51 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards OH Leuven at home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.28 goals for OH Leuven and 1.19 for Lommel SK. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, OH Leuven took 5 points and Lommel SK 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1OH Leuven | 1.86 | 50 % | -32.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +16.6 % |
| 2Lommel SK | 3.70 | 25 % | +20.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
OH Leuven
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Lommel SK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win OH Leuven – Lommel SK?
Our model gives 1 · OH Leuven a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: OH Leuven win 36 %, draw 31 %, Lommel SK win 33 %.
What is the most likely score for OH Leuven – Lommel SK?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.