Iraklis
Kifisia
Iraklis – Kifisia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.26 – 1.05
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41 %
- Both teams to score
- 47 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Iraklis at home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.26 goals for Iraklis and 1.05 for Kifisia. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Iraklis took 8 points and Kifisia 7 points. Over 2.5 goals: 41 %. Both teams to score: 47 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Iraklis | 2.60 | 36 % | +1.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 29 % | -1.8 % |
| 2Kifisia | 2.65 | 35 % | -20.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Iraklis
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kifisia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Iraklis – Kifisia?
Our model gives 1 · Iraklis a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Iraklis win 39 %, draw 31 %, Kifisia win 30 %.
What is the most likely score for Iraklis – Kifisia?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.