Al Kholood
Al Ettifaq
Al Kholood – Al Ettifaq
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.39 – 1.47
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Al Ettifaq away from home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.39 goals for Al Kholood and 1.47 for Al Ettifaq. Bookmakers say the same thing: 39 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Al Kholood took 4 points and Al Ettifaq 6 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Al Kholood, 0 draws, 2 wins for Al Ettifaq. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Kholood | 2.60 | 36 % | -9.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 25 % | +0.3 % |
| 2Al Ettifaq | 2.40 | 39 % | -9.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Al Kholood
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Al Ettifaq
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Al Kholood
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Al Ettifaq
- Al Kholood1-2Al Ettifaq
- Al Ettifaq2-1Al Kholood
- Al Kholood1-0Al Ettifaq
- Al Ettifaq2-3Al Kholood
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Al Kholood – Al Ettifaq?
Our model gives 2 · Al Ettifaq a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Al Kholood win 35 %, draw 27 %, Al Ettifaq win 38 %.
What is the most likely score for Al Kholood – Al Ettifaq?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.